Chapter 22 / 8

Power is a chain. It breaks at the weakest link.

Gas, generation, transmission and distribution must all improve together — fixing one alone delivers little.

  1. Built (nameplate)13,625 MW
  2. Ready to generate4,286 MW

    −9,339 MW lost at this step

  3. Actually sent to grid4,048 MW

    −238 MW lost at this step

Then transmission and distribution lose more before power reaches homes. Source: NERC, April 2026.

ATC&C losses: where the DisCo money leaks

Estimate

ATC&C = Aggregate Technical, Commercial & Collection losses. Every lost or unpaid kWh still has to be bought — so it pushes up the true price and the government's subsidy bill.

Total ATC&C loss

30.0%

True cost of 1 kWh

₦211

was ₦210 at 30%

National yearly shortfall

₦2.18T

was ₦2.18T

This is roughly today's loss level. Move a slider down to see how much subsidy fixing it would save.

Illustrative split of a ~30% ATC&C loss into technical, commercial and collection losses. Not an official NERC breakdown. Shortfall is HYPOTHETICAL: billed kWh from today's utilised MW × (true cost − average tariff paid). Formula: ATC&C = 1 − (1 − technical)(1 − commercial)(1 − collection).

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  • Gas: supply interruptions and unpaid debts leave plants idle.
  • Generation: units break down and wait for parts and maintenance.
  • Transmission: lines and substations limit how much power can be moved.
  • Distribution: weak local networks and collection losses cap what homes receive.
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